Oil Market Stagnates Amid Strong Dollar and Powell’s Speech Anticipation


In recent Asian trading, the oil market exhibited limited movement, a result of the prevalent strength of the dollar. Traders adopted a cautious stance as they awaited insights into U.S. monetary policy, expected from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s imminent speech.

While a degree of stability was evident in the previous session. Oil prices were on track for a second consecutive week of decline, influenced by multiple factors including apprehensions over a slackening Chinese demand and escalating U.S. supply.

Brent oil futures managed to maintain stability at $83.27 per barrel. Whereas West Texas Intermediate crude futures experienced a slight dip to $79.00 per barrel. Both contract categories were positioned to incur weekly losses ranging from 1.9% to 3%.

The prevailing might of the dollar had a notable impact on the oil market. Exerting downward pressure and setting the stage for Powell’s address.

The speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium was set to provide clarity on the central bank’s interest rate trajectory for the remaining year.

Market observers speculated about potential hawkish cues from Powell, considering steady U.S. inflation and robust job market dynamics. Which could allude to an upcoming phase of rate increases.

The dollar’s surge to its peak level since early June significantly affected oil prices by elevating the cost of crude for international buyers.

This elevated dollar scenario also contributed to concerns about economic growth slowdown, potentially diminishing crude demand in the process.

Despite Thursday’s minor relief, the oil market poise for a second consecutive week of decline, signaling the conclusion of a rally that had persisted for the past two months.

As markets contended with uncertainties. The concern over reduced Chinese demand persisted alongside indications of weakening U.S. fuel demand, as evidenced by surprising stockpile buildups.

U.S. oil production and exports demonstrated resilience, surging to levels reminiscent of pre-COVID times. This suggested a market that was less constrained than initially estimated.

Amid these challenges, crude prices clung to a modest upward trajectory for the year. Attributable to impactful production cuts orchestrated by Saudi Arabia and Russia.